{"id":990,"date":"2026-06-05T10:30:09","date_gmt":"2026-06-05T10:30:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/california-relocation-journal.com\/?p=990"},"modified":"2026-06-05T10:30:09","modified_gmt":"2026-06-05T10:30:09","slug":"california-voters-are-eager-to-know-who-won-elections-heres-why-the-answer-is-slow-going","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/california-relocation-journal.com\/?p=990","title":{"rendered":"California voters are eager to know who won elections. Here\u2019s why the answer is slow going"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

After the 2022 Los Angeles mayoral primary, developer Rick Caruso looked to have a surprising, and sizable, lead over then-U.S. Rep. Karen Bass. <\/p>\n

Read more Here\u2019s how your neighborhood voted for Los Angeles mayor<\/a><\/p>\n

The morning after the polls closed, Caruso was ahead by 5 percentage points \u2014 42% to Bass\u2019 37% \u2014 and the former Republican called the early results \u201ca victory story.\u201d<\/p>\n

But that lead did not last as the vote count continued. By the time all votes were tabulated two weeks after election day, Bass had come out on top, with 43% of the vote compared with Caruso\u2019s 36%.<\/p>\n

Welcome to the postelection vote-count slog in California, where tight races are often impossible to call even when the initial results seem clear-cut. <\/p>\n

The California governor\u2019s race still has not been called even though Republican Steve Hilton has been the top voter-getter and Democrat Xavier Becerra has been in second place since election night. The same is true in the battle over who will face Bass in the mayoral election: reality TV personality Spencer Pratt, who is now in second place, or L.A. City Councilmember Nithya Raman, who is in third place.<\/p>\n

At this point in the vote tally, \u201ceverybody has an opinion and very few facts\u201d about what the results will be, said Mike Murphy, a Republican strategist.<\/p>\n

\u201cNobody in politics wants to be patient,\u201d Murphy said, adding that California has \u201cadopted a system that\u2019s slow and deliberate.\u201d<\/p>\n

It\u2019s not just the L.A. mayor\u2019s race where mail-in ballots have swung election outcomes. Other contests, including those for highly competitive Orange County congressional districts and L.A. City Council seats, have come down to extremely narrow margins that have shifted long after election day. <\/p>\n

On election night in November 2024, just over 1,000 votes separated Democrat Dave Min and Republican Scott Baugh in their bid for the 47th Congressional District, with Baugh enjoying a slight lead.<\/p>\n

But, ultimately, as more ballots were counted, Min pulled ahead. He ended up winning by about 10,000 votes.<\/p>\n

Similarly, in the race between Democrat Derek Tran and then-incumbent Michelle Steel to represent Congressional District 45, it took until Nov. 27 to determine that Tran had won the contest by just over 650 votes.<\/p>\n

In 2022, the race between then-incumbent Gil Cedillo and community activist Eunisses Hernandez for L.A. City Council was similarly unsettled. On election day, Cedillo had a comfortable lead with 56% of the vote. But two weeks later, Hernandez ended up in the lead with 54% of the vote to Cedillo\u2019s 46%. <\/p>\n

Experts say confirming the final spot in the mayor\u2019s race could still take several more days, depending on how close the contest becomes and how many ballots still need to be counted. Only an estimated 62% of ballots from the city of Los Angeles had been counted as of Thursday morning.<\/p>\n

\u201cOf the 40% remaining, or outstanding, there could still be a chance that there would be a significant return of more left-leaning votes, which would certainly benefit Raman,\u201d said Pete Peterson, dean of the School of Public Policy at Pepperdine University. <\/p>\n

Late results tend to favor Democrats \u2014 as seen in the 2022 Bass-Caruso contest \u2014 as Democrats tend to be more likely to vote by mail, a system that accepts ballots up to seven days after election day as long as they are postmarked by that Tuesday. And this year, Democratic voters held on to their ballots longer amid an unsettled governor\u2019s race, which could further boost that phenomenon. <\/p>\n

\u201cThe major difference between \u201926 and \u201822, you had two candidates versus three,\u201d Peterson said. \u201cMathematically, it\u2019s a different situation.\u201d<\/p>\n

Read more No, Mr. Hilton, our elections are not \u2018a joke.\u2019 It\u2019s time for you to stand up to Trump<\/a><\/p>\n

Three experts The Times interviewed said Raman still had a chance to pass Pratt, but it seemed more likely at this point that Pratt would survive and challenge Bass in November.<\/p>\n

The remaining ballots to count, even if they are overwhelmingly left-leaning, will probably be split between Raman and Bass, which means Raman needs to outperform not just Pratt but Bass to make such a comeback possible, Peterson said. <\/p>\n

He called her chances of ousting Pratt \u201cdastardly remote … but it\u2019s not impossible.\u201d<\/p>\n

In L.A. County, the registrar of voters reported late Wednesday that officials estimate they still have about 713,000 ballots to process and count, which primarily includes vote-by-mail ballots postmarked by election day but not yet received, as well as ballots returned to drop boxes and vote centers on election day. The registrar only made countywide estimations, which includes a much larger pool than L.A. city voters who will decide the mayor\u2019s race. <\/p>\n

Kamy Akhavan, the managing director at the USC Dornsife Center for the Political Future, said there\u2019s a theory circulating among pundits that ballots submitted later are going to break more progressive, meaning they\u2019ll be more friendly to Raman. <\/p>\n

\u201cWhether there is enough of them to tilt the outcome in favor of Raman taking a second place position, right now, it seems unlikely,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n

Pratt is pulling from the same electorate in Los Angeles that voted for President Trump and could snag a few more voters who are angry about the state of the city. But his lead very well could shrink a bit as more Democrats\u2019 ballots are counted, Murphy said.<\/p>\n

\u201cNithya, she\u2019ll probably go up because there\u2019s going to be a fair amount of Democratic votes and she\u2019ll get her chunk, but will she catch Pratt? You can extrapolate it either way,\u201d Murphy said.<\/p>\n

A similar left-leaning shift also occurred as more ballots were counted in November 2022 when Bass and Caruso faced off in the general election. Results on election night wavered between the two candidates, but by the following morning Caruso had a thin lead with 51.25% of the counted votes. Bass sat at 48.75%.<\/p>\n

Caruso remained in the lead \u2014 though it continued to shrink \u2014 as the week dragged on, but by Saturday, Bass had pulled ahead with 50.78% of the counted vote. Caruso had fallen to 49.22%.<\/p>\n

Her momentum continued to grow as more ballots were processed. Eight days after polls closed the following week, the Associated Press called the race for Bass. At that point, she led Caruso by six points with 53% of the vote.<\/p>\n

The final tally would have her winning almost 55% of the vote. <\/p>\n

California officials have worked to dispel rumors and falsehoods about slow election results \u2014 explaining that it\u2019s part of the process to accurately count and confirm ballots, especially those mailed in \u2014 though there has been a growing push to expedite results to build voter trust. <\/p>\n

The process has been particularly slow in L.A. County, though experts say that is mostly a result of the county\u2019s massive voter base. Mail-in ballots are also heavily scrutinized with workers verifying signatures and giving voters a chance to remedy the situation if their signature doesn\u2019t match, a process that takes time. <\/p>\n

\u201cThey\u2019re using that level of care because they\u2019re supposed to \u2014 that\u2019s their protocol \u2014 and also because it could make a big difference,\u201d Akhavan said. \u201cWe\u2019ve seen some elections in Southern California decided by single digits. And that just means this is going to take time. That can be very frustrating, even annoying, to Angelenos.\u201d <\/p>\n

Read more Trump announces new coal export terminal in Oakland<\/a><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Election watchers say it could still be a few more days before tight races are called, including the California gubernatorial and L.A. mayoral primaries.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":989,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-990","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics"],"yoast_head":"\nCalifornia voters are eager to know who won elections. 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