{"id":929,"date":"2026-06-02T19:00:11","date_gmt":"2026-06-02T19:00:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/california-relocation-journal.com\/?p=929"},"modified":"2026-06-02T19:00:11","modified_gmt":"2026-06-02T19:00:11","slug":"in-deep-blue-california-frustration-with-democratic-status-quo-fuels-governor-l-a-mayor-race","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/california-relocation-journal.com\/?p=929","title":{"rendered":"In deep blue California, frustration with Democratic status quo fuels governor, L.A. mayor race"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>As primary voters head to the polls Tuesday to determine which candidates will face off in November to become California\u2019s governor and Los Angeles\u2019 mayor, both races are wide open, with a new crop of candidates challenging the Democratic status quo.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/california-relocation-journal.com\/?p=927\">Trump signs an executive order to vet top AI models for national security risks<\/a><\/p>\n<p>For Democrats, little clear consensus has emerged so far on who should lead the city and state into the future.  <\/p>\n<p>In California\u2019s crowded gubernatorial race, Democrats have struggled in recent months to settle on a candidate to succeed term-limited Gov. Gavin Newsom. <\/p>\n<p>After former Rep. <u>Eric Swalwell suspended his campaign<\/u> in April amid allegations of sexual misconduct, <u>Xavier Becerra, a former Biden cabinet member, inched ahead<\/u> by positioning himself as the safe, experienced Democratic candidate. Another Democrat, billionaire climate activist Tom Steyer, and Republican Steve Hilton, a former Fox News commentator, trail close behind.<\/p>\n<p>In L.A., experience seems to be as much a liability as an advantage.<\/p>\n<p>Mayor Karen Bass finds herself in the extraordinary position, as an incumbent, of fighting to make the runoff as she is assailed from the left and the right. The latest <u>UC Berkeley-L.A. Times poll<\/u> shows Bass leading with just 26% of the vote, one point ahead of City Councilmember Nithya Raman, a wonkish Democratic socialist, and four points ahead of Republican Spencer Pratt, a former reality TV star.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere\u2019s a clear sense of frustration with the Democratic Party,\u201d said Sara Sadhwani, a professor of politics at Pomona College. The reason a wave of conservative outsiders like Pratt and Hilton are doing so well in such a solidly liberal city and state, Sadhwani said, is that they\u2019re more willing to spell out the challenges that L.A. and California face.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cDemocrats tend to be very concerned about not upsetting one coalition or another, so it\u2019s politics as usual with many of the Democratic candidates,\u201d Sadhwani said. \u201cSpencer Pratt has blown a hole in that by just naming the problems that everyday residents and voters are seeing and feeling on the ground.\u201d <\/p>\n<p>On homelessness, many Angelenos are frustrated Bass hasn\u2019t significantly moved the needle.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe can point to facts and figures that might suggest that things have changed,\u201d Sadhwani said. \u201cBut when you walk down the streets of Los Angeles, it doesn\u2019t feel like it, so she hasn\u2019t passed the field test. That\u2019s the problem.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>A growing segment of Angelenos also chafe at the city\u2019s high cost of living. And many are angry about the Bass administration\u2019s lack of preparation and response to the 2025 Palisades fire. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe Democrats have to account for those challenges,\u201d Sadhwani said. \u201cThey have been in power for all of this time.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>California, of course, remains a Democratic stronghold, and polls show state voters are overwhelmingly opposed to President Trump. His second-term agenda \u2014 including a sweeping immigration crackdown, tariffs and the war in Iran \u2014 only seems to have cemented California\u2019s status as a resistance state.<\/p>\n<p>But after so many years of Democratic dominance, in Sacramento and at Los Angeles City Hall, leaders have to answer for voter frustrations.<\/p>\n<p>The top two vote-getters in California\u2019s nonpartisan primaries will advance to theNovember runoff, unless one candidate manages to pick up more than 50% of the vote.<\/p>\n<p>Republicans have turned out at higher rates than Democrats in early voting. Paul Mitchell, vice president of the Sacramento-based bipartisan firm Political Data Inc., said that older Democrats who reliably turn in their ballots were slower to vote this year, likely because two Republicans were on the gubernatorial ballot and the Democratic field was fractured. <\/p>\n<p>\u201cThat has caused them to dive into a lot more strategic voting,\u201d Mitchell said, noting many seemed to be waiting to cast their ballots for the Democrat who looks to have the best chance of moving on to November.<\/p>\n<p>For the GOP, getting a candidate on the November ballot for governor means more than just demonstrating Republicans are players in California. A GOP candidate would bring out more Republicans to vote in the general election, raising the party\u2019s prospects of winning down-ballot races and passing a GOP-led ballot initiative on voter ID.<\/p>\n<p>For Democrats, the midterm races offer the party its first major chance to chart a new path for the future.<\/p>\n<p>As polls show <u>Trump cratering in popularity<\/u>, Democrats in California and beyond are struggling a year and a half after Kamala Harris\u2019 bruising 2024 defeat to agree on what went wrong. <\/p>\n<p><u>The Democratic National Committee\u2019s long-awaited autopsy<\/u> of that election \u2014 which said Harris \u201cwrote off rural America,\u201d wrongly assumed identity politics would win over voters of color and failed to develop \u201cdefined or consistent\u201d strategy against Trump \u2014 has only generated more hand-wringing.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere is not a clear vision, there is not a clear policy agenda, and the Donald Trump presidency upended the policy world as we knew it,\u201d Sadhwani said. \u201cIt\u2019s unclear how any Democrat, including any of the individuals in these two races, is going to navigate the waters into the future. One thing is for certain: We aren\u2019t going back. So, which of these candidates is going to lead us into an uncertain future?\u201d<\/p>\n<p><b>Referendum on Bass<\/b><\/p>\n<p>In L.A., the election is a referendum on Bass, who <u>pledged in 2022<\/u> to solve homelessness, cut crime and make the city more affordable.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHow has L.A. changed in four years?\u201d said Christian Grose, a professor of political science and public policy at USC. \u201cThe Bass campaign is saying it has changed for the better and she still needs more time. All the other candidates, from very different perspectives, are saying that it\u2019s much worse than it was four years ago, and it\u2019s time for new leadership.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Bass told <u>The Times she plans to win in November<\/u> by demonstrating her administration\u2019s progress in clearing homeless encampments and accelerating the building of affordable housing. She has also noted that data shows homicides in the city are at their lowest since 1966.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/california-relocation-journal.com\/?p=925\">2026 primary election: Los Angeles County and cities<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Challenging Bass from the left is Raman, who was elected in 2020 as the first DSA-backed L.A. City Council member. Pitching herself as the viable progressive in the race, Raman has accused Bass of not doing enough to make the city affordable and critiqued Bass\u2019 spending on Inside Safe, her program to move unhoused people into stable housing. Although Raman presents herself as an outsider, she is a former Bass ally who has chaired the council\u2019s Housing and Homelessness Committee for more than three years.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cShe\u2019s absolutely a part of the establishment,\u201d Sadhwani said. \u201cShe\u2019s been in City Hall longer than Karen Bass.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>As Raman tacked to the center during the campaign to appeal to more moderates and distanced herself from <u>past calls to defund the police<\/u>, she alienated some DSA members who complained they didn\u2019t know what she stood for. <u>Her three fellow DSA City Council members <\/u>endorsed Bass.<\/p>\n<p>Pratt is challenging Bass and the entire Democratic status quo. <\/p>\n<p>A former star of \u201cThe Hills\u201d who lost his home in the Palisades fire, he has surprised many political observers with his success assailing the city\u2019s handling of the 2025 firestorms. He has called unhoused people drug-addled \u201czombies\u201d and argued that L.A.\u2019s housing crisis requires heavy-handed policing.<\/p>\n<p>Pratt has raised vastly more campaign contributions than Bass and Raman. He has also generated national online buzz by waging an aggressive social media campaign and inspiring supporters to post a stream of viral AI election campaign ads.<\/p>\n<p>Still, most political experts agree that Bass has the most viable path to victory, starting with a solid base of Black voters and a large share of Latino voters, plus support from powerful unions.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cUnder normal circumstances, or at least under historic circumstances, that would be plenty to get her over the finish line,\u201c said Jim Newton, executive director of UCLA Blueprint magazine and a former political journalist for The Times. \u201cWhat\u2019s problematic for her is that there are people who are angry with her.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><b>A reset in California<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Newsom has emerged in recent years as the national face of Democratic resistance to Trump, bolstering California\u2019s status through a barrage of lawsuits and all-caps trolling against Trump.<\/p>\n<p>Whatever candidate replaces Newsom, things are going to be different.<\/p>\n<p>The emerging front-runner, Becerra, is a safe-bet career politician who has served as California attorney general and U.S. secretary of Health and Human Services. Asked recently why he had climbed in the polls, Bercerra said he thought voters wanted <u>experience, not \u201cglitz and sizzle<\/u>.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>He has pledged to issue executive orders <u>declaring California\u2019s housing shortage a state of emergency<\/u> and directing state agencies to maintain coverage for every Californian affected by federal or Medi-Cal cuts. He also touts his record, as the state\u2019s attorney general, of suing Trump <u>122 times<\/u>. <\/p>\n<p>Steyer, a hedge-fund billionaire, calls himself \u201c<u>the most progressive candidate on the ballot<\/u>.\u201d He has pledged to build one million affordable homes, make the wealthy pay more taxes, and defend the environment \u2014 stances that are certain to unsettle Sacramento lobbyists and test the limits of California\u2019s progressivism. But his past investments in coal plants and ICE prisons raise questions for some voters.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHis wealth is in one way his Achilles heel in the election,\u201d Grose said. \u201cVoters think of him as a billionaire more than progressive.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Republicans seem to have rallied around Hilton \u2014 a British immigrant and former top strategist forconservative prime minister David Cameron \u2014 who has secured Trump\u2019s backing and is campaigning on the message that California is a failed state in need of radical reform. <\/p>\n<p>Hilton has <u>pledged<\/u> to cut government spending, make housing more affordable and <u>bring gas prices down.<\/u> But to achieve some of his goals he would scale back public services and environmental regulations and ramp up domestic production of oil and natural gas \u2014 strategies that many Californians might hesitate to get behind.<\/p>\n<p>Whichever candidates make it to the runoff, the California Democratic Party will face questions about its strategy and vision. Less than two months ago, the party chair had urged Becerra to drop out of the race to make way for Swalwell.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cClearly, the party itself has lost its way in California,\u201d Sadhwani said. \u201cI would not be surprised if the California Democratic Party looks for new leadership after this election.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><b>Can a Republican win?<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Because the top two spots in each contest are up for grabs, elections experts warn that the vote results may not be known for days.<\/p>\n<p>If Republicans make it to the runoff, they face steep odds of being elected in November in a state where Democratic registered voters outnumber Republicans by <u>more than 20 percentage points<\/u>.<\/p>\n<p>Rob Stutzman, a GOP strategist, said neither Hilton nor Pratt was likely to win. But if they made the runoff they could have a huge impact on the political environment by advancing \u201cgrievance issues that really put up a spotlight on what I call the blue state incompetence.\u201d <\/p>\n<p>Of all the candidates, Mitchell said, Pratt as an outsider adept at Instagram and TikTok has the greatest opportunity to create a new surge electorate. But he\u2019s also going after the hardest voters to get to turn out: disaffected voters who are upset at the system.<\/p>\n<p>Pratt had more retweets and viral videos than any other candidate, Mitchell said. \u201cBut that doesn\u2019t buy him the vote of the disaffected DoorDash driver who believes that the system is broken, and who hasn\u2019t voted in the last five elections.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>If Republicans don\u2019t make it past the primary, Mitchell said, Democrats would likely hit the reset button.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cPratt running has kind of obfuscated the differences between Raman and Bass,\u201d Mitchell said. \u201cIt\u2019s like a WWE match versus a chess match. I think Raman versus Bass would be more of a strategic and nuanced election than Spencer Pratt trying to hit Karen Bass over the head with a chair.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/california-relocation-journal.com\/?p=923\">2026 primary election: Key California congressional races<\/a><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>For Democrats, little clear consensus has emerged so far on who should lead the city and state into the future.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":928,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-929","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>In deep blue California, frustration with Democratic status quo fuels governor, L.A. mayor race - 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The storm is expected to last through Thanksgiving Day. 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