{"id":890,"date":"2026-05-31T16:00:12","date_gmt":"2026-05-31T16:00:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/california-relocation-journal.com\/?p=890"},"modified":"2026-05-31T16:00:12","modified_gmt":"2026-05-31T16:00:12","slug":"trying-to-be-strategic-california-democrats-wait-to-vote-amid-fears-of-governors-lockout","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/california-relocation-journal.com\/?p=890","title":{"rendered":"Trying to be \u2018strategic,\u2019 California Democrats wait to vote amid fears of governor\u2019s lockout"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

In a typical midterm year, Donna Layne casts her ballot long before election day. <\/p>\n

Read more L.A. politics fractures amid dissatisfaction, frayed alliances, generational conflict<\/a><\/p>\n

But this time around was different for the 75-year-old Democrat. Late-cycle controversies and fear of a \u201cwasted vote\u201d leading to a lockout for Democrats in the race for California governor meant she didn\u2019t make her final decision until Friday. <\/p>\n

California Democrats have been wringing their hands for weeks about who would emerge as front-runners in the crowded race to replace termed-out Gov. Gavin Newsom. The sudden departure of high-profile candidate Eric Swalwell amid sexual assault allegations and California\u2019s jungle primary system, which sends the top two vote-getters to the November general election regardless of their party affiliation, added pressure for Democrats to coalesce around candidates who had the best chance of advancing. <\/p>\n

\u201cI was concerned,\u201d Layne said as she slid her ballot into a drop box. \u201cI wanted to make my ballot count and I was afraid that there might be two Republicans because they had been polling pretty high, so I wanted to be strategic about it.\u201d <\/p>\n

On Friday morning, voters \u2014 predominately Democrats like Layne \u2014 trickled into the Orange County Registrar of Voters in Santa Ana to turn in their ballots. A few told The Times they frequently wait to vote until the days leading up to the election so they can watch all the debates and get the most up-to-date information about the candidates. <\/p>\n

But most said they hung onto their ballots this year for far longer than usual. <\/p>\n

As of Friday, 19% of California Republicans had already cast their ballot, compared with roughly 16% by the same time in the 2022 primary cycle, according to data from Political Data Inc. <\/p>\n

Meanwhile, only 14% of the state\u2019s far-more-numerous registered Democrats have returned their ballots, down from 17% at this point in 2022. Only 29% of Democrats age 65 years and older \u2014 generally enthusiastic voters \u2014 had returned their ballots, down from 33% in 2022, data show. <\/p>\n

But that doesn\u2019t mean that Democrats will stay on the sidelines. Data show Democrats have started returning their ballots in earnest over the past several days, a trend that\u2019s likely to continue through election day, said Paul Mitchell, the vice president of Political Data Inc. <\/p>\n

\u201cIt\u2019s the predominance of this fear that they\u2019ve heard in the media \u2014 and that\u2019s largely abated \u2014 that a Democrat won\u2019t make it to the runoff,\u201d Mitchell said. \u201cIn fact, there\u2019s a growing sense that we could have two Democrats make the runoff, so that fear has \u2014 for the political class \u2014 gone away, but voters are still clinging to it.\u201d <\/p>\n

Democrat Xavier Becerra, the former Health and Human Services secretary, has risen steadily in recent polls, positioning him well to potentially advance to November. He was the leading candidate in a poll released Thursday by UC Berkeley\u2019s Institute of Governmental Studies that was co-sponsored by the Los Angeles Times, garnering support from 25% of likely California voters. <\/p>\n

Slightly behind with support from 21% of likely state voters was Republican Steve Hilton, a former Fox News commentator whom President Trump has endorsed. In third place with 19% support was another Democrat: Tom Steyer, a hedge fund founder and environmental activist. <\/p>\n

With support increasing for Becerra, Hilton and Steyer since the last Berkeley IGS\/Times poll in March, the survey provided the clearest indication yet that those candidates have separated themselves from the rest of the field. <\/p>\n

Read more Becerra is lashed by rivals over his Beltway background<\/a><\/p>\n

Support for Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco, the only other major Republican candidate in the race, dropped 5 percentage points from the March poll to last week\u2019s, putting him in a distant fourth at 11%. Former Democratic Rep. Katie Porter saw her support drop by almost half to 7%. Other prominent Democrats \u2014 San Jos\u00e9 Mayor Matt Mahan, former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa and state Supt. of Public Instruction Tony Thurmond \u2014 were all in the low single digits, the poll found.<\/p>\n

Roughly a dozen registered Democrats interviewed by The Times said they cast their ballots last week for the person they thought would have the best chance of making it through the state\u2019s jungle primary, even if it wasn\u2019t their ideal candidate.<\/p>\n

\u201cI love Katie Porter,\u201d said Connie Wadsley, 78. \u201cI really do, but I just didn\u2019t see her as being able to pull it off. I just don\u2019t think society is ready for a woman governor as much as that pains me to say.\u201d <\/p>\n

In the end, Wadsley and her husband, Victor, cast their ballots for Steyer. Becerra, she said, is too much of a career politician for her liking, but Steyer impressed her with his promise not to take corporate money and his position on social justice issues. <\/p>\n

\u201cI think we need to shake things up in this state \u2014 in this nation,\u201d she said. \u201cYeah, [Steyer] is a billionaire and I\u2019m not really excited about that, but he truly seems to be spending his money on things that I feel are important.\u201d <\/p>\n

For some voters, the sheer volume of gubernatorial candidates \u2014 61 in all \u2014 was off-putting. Some even organized gatherings with politically like-minded friends to discuss the best course of action. <\/p>\n

\u201cI think it was really overwhelming for a lot of people, especially when they got their ballot and saw all of those names,\u201d said Linda Verraster, co-president of the Democratic Women of South Orange County. \u201cThere was this fear of making a mistake \u2014 air quotes \u2014 that would lead to two Republicans in the runoff.\u201d <\/p>\n

The race seems somewhat reminiscent of the 2003 recall election when 135 candidates vied to replace then-Gov. Gray Davis amid the state\u2019s energy crisis. Actor Arnold Schwarzenegger, a Republican, won decisively with roughly 48% of the vote. <\/p>\n

But this race differs in a few key ways, experts say. <\/p>\n

Mainly, while all of the top candidates have impressive resumes, there\u2019s a lack of star power that could help propel someone to the forefront. Instead, Democrats \u201chave an option of like moderate Dem to slightly less-moderate Dem,\u201d said Matt Lesenyie, an assistant professor of political science at Cal State Long Beach.<\/p>\n

\u201cThere\u2019s a lot of people, but they occupy a very similar lane and I think that\u2019s been a lot of the problem,\u201d he said. \u201cThey\u2019re loathe to really critique some of the foundational problems like a real ideological opponent would.\u201d <\/p>\n

Verraster put it even more simply: \u201cThere\u2019s no unicorn.\u201d <\/p>\n

Still, she\u2019ll be happy if either of the two Democratic front-runners \u2014 or both \u2014 make the ballot. <\/p>\n

Read more How Monica Rodriguez went from a thorn in Bass\u2019 side to an unlikely ally<\/a><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

California Democrats have been wringing their hands for weeks about who would emerge as front-runners in the unusually crowded race to replace termed-out Gov. Gavin Newsom.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":889,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-890","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics"],"yoast_head":"\nTrying to be \u2018strategic,\u2019 California Democrats wait to vote amid fears of governor\u2019s lockout - California Relocation Journal<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/california-relocation-journal.com\/?p=890\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trying to be \u2018strategic,\u2019 California Democrats wait to vote amid fears of governor\u2019s lockout - California Relocation Journal\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"California Democrats have been wringing their hands for weeks about who would emerge as front-runners in the unusually crowded race to replace termed-out Gov. 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