{"id":814,"date":"2026-05-24T10:30:25","date_gmt":"2026-05-24T10:30:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/california-relocation-journal.com\/?p=814"},"modified":"2026-05-24T10:30:25","modified_gmt":"2026-05-24T10:30:25","slug":"news-analysis-uncertainty-frustration-define-messy-midterm-battles-for-mayor-governor-and-congress","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/california-relocation-journal.com\/?p=814","title":{"rendered":"News Analysis:\u00a0Uncertainty, frustration define messy midterm battles for mayor, governor and Congress"},"content":{"rendered":"
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With little more than a week left until primary voters winnow the candidates for Los Angeles mayor, California governor and Congress, there remains a palpable sense of political uncertainty among the electorate \u2014 attributable to a lack of clear front-runners, redrawn political maps, messy party infighting and competing voter frustration with both President Trump and the state\u2019s Democratic establishment.<\/p>\n

Read more As influencers rise in politics, some call for tighter regulations on payments<\/a><\/p>\n

In a state where Democrats hold a substantial advantage among registered voters and Trump lost in 2024 by more than 20 percentage points, MAGA-aligned Republicans are nonetheless competing on a message of ineptitude from longtime liberal leaders to address the state\u2019s most intractable problems. Even some Democrats have railed against the status quo.<\/p>\n

With Trump\u2019s grip on the Republican base intact despite abysmal overall approval ratings, many Republican candidates have courted his approval \u2014 and been hammered for it by their Democratic opponents.<\/p>\n

But those same Democrats have found it harder to explain why their own party should continue to lead the state despite allowing its affordability, housing and homelessness crises to take root and persist \u2014 taking little responsibility while swiping at each other for having failed to find solutions sooner.<\/p>\n

All that party infighting \u2014 present before every primary, but at a fever pitch now \u2014 comes against a backdrop of broader voter unease about the war in Iran, volatile oil and gas prices, and the burgeoning threat of AI to the American workforce.<\/p>\n

Republican voters are being warned of a blue wave in November giving Democrats control of Congress and grinding Trump\u2019s agenda to a halt. Democratic voters are being warned of Trump administration efforts to undermine local and state elections, and of control of Congress unfairly slipping from reach thanks to further Republican redistricting following a U.S. Supreme Court decision undermining the Voting Rights Act and its protections for majority-Black districts across the South.<\/p>\n

Many California voters \u2014 some already shaken or burned by former Rep. Eric Swalwell dropping from the gubernatorial race amid sexual assault and rape allegations last month \u2014 appear hesitant to cast ballots early, despite warnings that the Trump administration may try to discount those mailed at the last minute.<\/p>\n

\u201cVoters don\u2019t want to make a mistake. They\u2019re not absolutely certain,\u201d said Rob Stutzman, a Republican consultant in California. \u201cIt\u2019s just not real clear where to land.\u201d<\/p>\n

James Adams, a political science professor at UC Davis who studies elections and public opinion, said California Democrats this cycle \u201chave a candidate problem and they have a message problem,\u201d in that they are trying to convince voters to back them \u201cnot because they offer exciting ideas or inspiring leadership, but because their Republican opponents are even worse.\u201d<\/p>\n

And that message \u2014 offered as they gerrymander California in a race to the bottom with Republicans nationally \u2014 isn\u2019t cutting it, Adams said.<\/p>\n

\u201cPeople are alienated from our current politics not because Americans are cynical, but because people recognize that they deserve better.\u201d<\/p>\n

Outsider shakes up L.A. mayor\u2019s race<\/h2>\n

Amid entrenched homelessness, affordability concerns and lingering anger over the bungled response to last year\u2019s wildfires, the L.A. mayor\u2019s race was \u201csupposed to be a referendum\u201d on embattled Mayor Karen Bass, Stutzman said.<\/p>\n

And yet, Bass remains in the lead, and many voters remain confused about which way to turn away from her \u2014 if at all.<\/p>\n

Bass has won the endorsement of three council members who are members of the Democratic Socialists of America, despite City Councilmember Nithya Raman, an ally who\u2019d previously endorsed Bass and is a member of the DSA herself, entering the race to her left. <\/p>\n

Unable to consolidate support from the city\u2019s progressive flank, Raman is now running neck and neck for a second-place finish and a chance to face Bass in the November runoff with former reality TV personality Spencer Pratt, who has remained in contention in ultra-liberal L.A. despite pushing a MAGA-aligned message to Bass\u2019 right.<\/p>\n

Pratt, who did not respond to a request for comment, lost his Pacific Palisades home in the fires and has won over many frustrated city residents with his anti-establishment message and cheeky AI videos \u2014 including one casting him as Batman, taking on a corrupt Democratic bourgeoisie.<\/p>\n

Pratt, a registered Republican, has tried to dance around politics in the race, calling his campaign a \u201cnonpartisan\u201d one and comparing himself to President Obama politically. But he is backed by many Republicans, has echoed Trump\u2019s rhetoric around restoring \u201ccommon sense\u201d and a \u201cGolden Age\u201d to L.A., and recently responded to Trump saying that he\u2019d heard Pratt \u201cis a big MAGA person\u201d \u2014 and Raman posting the quote to X \u2014 with a meme of himself shrugging.<\/p>\n

Fernando Guerra, founding director of the Center for the Study of Los Angeles at Loyola Marymount University, said he\u2019s glad city voters have choices this race, because they clearly aren\u2019t happy. He said Angelenos are less optimistic today than ever before and are deeply frustrated with \u201cthis same liberal Democratic regime from Bradley to Bass over 50 years\u201d \u2014 a reference to former Mayor Tom Bradley, who first took office in 1973.<\/p>\n

Voters are clearly tired of that regime, which has succumbed to \u201cpolicy paralysis\u201d in the name of \u201cinclusion\u201d and trying to please everyone, Guerra said \u2014 but not so much that they will consider going MAGA for Pratt.<\/p>\n

\u201cPeople say, \u2018Yeah, Democrats have really f\u2014d it up, but there\u2019s no way we\u2019re going to [back] Republicans. Look what they\u2019ve done to the nation.\u2019\u201d<\/p>\n

Others aren\u2019t so sure. In its voter guide, the progressive group LA Forward wrote that the \u201cmost important thing\u201d in the June 2 primary is to block Pratt \u2014 whom it called a \u201cright-wing reality TV buffoon\u201d \u2014 from advancing, and the best way to do so is to vote for Raman.<\/p>\n

Read more GOP governor hopefuls give closing arguments to oft-forgotten Central Valley Republicans<\/a><\/p>\n

\u201cWe would much rather see a Bass\/Raman runoff, with no chance of Pratt becoming mayor, than a Pratt\/Bass runoff where a Pratt win would be a real possibility \u2014 plunging LA into a Trumpian mayoral nightmare,\u201d the group wrote.<\/p>\n

An unsettled gubernatorial contest<\/h2>\n

In the gubernatorial race, none of the many Democratic candidates has been able to consolidate a sizable lead, creating a lingering apprehension that Republicans could somehow eke out a stunning upset in the biggest of blue states.<\/p>\n

That\u2019s in part thanks to leading Democratic candidate Xavier Becerra, the former California attorney general and U.S. Health secretary under President Biden, being dogged by insinuations, including from fellow Democrats, that he was somehow complicit in a scheme by underlings to steal from his campaign coffers, despite prosecutors in the case \u2014 which resulted in his former chief of staff pleading guilty \u2014 never alleging wrongdoing on his part.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s also thanks in part to the fact that the leading progressive, Tom Steyer, is a billionaire who has bought his way into contention with nearly $200 million of his own money \u2014 in an election cycle in which progressive voters nationwide are decrying billionaires as the clearest symbol of all that is wrong with the nation\u2019s lopsided economy.<\/p>\n

\u201cThis kind of weird self-loathing rationale of why he\u2019s the right guy to take on billionaires because he is one? You can\u2019t build a Mamdani movement around that,\u201d said Stutzman, referring to New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, who shot to power on a democratic socialist platform last year.<\/p>\n

The Democrats have also struggled to combat the criticism \u2014 leveraged time and again by their Republican competitors \u2014 that their party has failed for years to solve California\u2019s most substantial problems, and deserves to be ousted from power.<\/p>\n

Former Fox News commentator Steve Hilton has hammered that message in ads and on the debate stage, lambasting the Democratic establishment for pushing so much unnecessary regulation that it has chased out business and investment and made everything from gas to housing to groceries more expensive for average residents.<\/p>\n

He has blamed Democrats for California\u2019s high rates of poverty and unemployment, its high cost of living and high taxes, its record homelessness and its poor public school results.<\/p>\n

In an interview, Hilton said he understands that California voters may not like Trump \u2014 who endorsed him \u2014 and may have conflicting beliefs about federal and international policy, but that California\u2019s biggest problems have \u201cnothing to do with President Trump.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cVoters need to decide on what direction they want to take in terms of the policies that affect their daily lives in California,\u201d he said, and those are \u201cdevised and enacted within California by our politicians here in Sacramento.\u201d<\/p>\n

He also said it\u2019s no surprise that some of his Democratic rivals have also acknowledged that the Democratic establishment has been a failure, because \u201cif you pretend otherwise, you show that you\u2019re just completely out of touch with public opinion.\u201d<\/p>\n

Rusty Hicks, chair of the California Democratic Party, said \u201cevery campaign is entitled to run the race that they believe matches their story,\u201d even if that means questioning the party\u2019s past performance. But he also said polling hasn\u2019t shown that message to be an effective one, and he\u2019s confident that voters will show their ongoing trust in the party at the polls.<\/p>\n

Redistricting, sniping and name-calling<\/h2>\n

The decision by California voters last November to pass Proposition 50 and allow the state\u2019s Democratic leaders to redraw the state\u2019s congressional maps to favor Democratic candidates in a handful of additional districts \u2014 part of a wider redistricting war sparked by Trump \u2014 has intensified the primary races in those areas.<\/p>\n

As an example, longtime incumbent Reps. Ken Calvert (R-Corona) and Young Kim (R-Anaheim Hills) are now competing to represent the same redrawn swath of Orange, Riverside and San Bernardino counties, and have bitterly attacked one another. Kim has called Calvert a \u201cswampy,\u201d \u201csleazy\u201d and \u201ccorrupt\u201d politician guilty of \u201csabotaging President Trump\u2019s agenda.\u201d Calvert has called Kim a \u201cRINO,\u201d or Republican In Name Only, and a \u201cTrump-hating liberal.\u201d<\/p>\n

Democrats have also sniped at each other, including in the race to replace retiring Rep. Darrell Issa (R-Bonsall) in his redrawn district in San Diego and Riverside counties \u2014 where Trump also holds an outsize presence.<\/p>\n

Stutzman said it will be interesting to see how those primaries play out, but also how Democrats there and in other races perform in November \u2014 when Democrats are expected to perform well nationally given Trump\u2019s lousy ratings, but Democrats in California could underperform thanks to statewide frustration with affordability, housing and homelessness here.<\/p>\n

\u201cPeople are like, \u2018Eh, you know, yeah, Trump \u2014 but there\u2019s some problems here,\u2019\u201d Stutzman said. <\/p>\n

Hicks said he expects California voters to not only elect another Democratic governor, but to \u201cpush back on a Trump administration and congressional Republicans and Republicans around the country that have sought to rig the game in their favor,\u201d including by \u201censuring that we fulfill the promise of Proposition 50 by winning congressional seats and retaking the House of Representatives.\u201d<\/p>\n

He said the current political moment \u201ccan feel like a pressure cooker,\u201d but Californians will \u201ccontinue to adapt and overcome and be resilient, just as they always have been.\u201d<\/p>\n

Read more Trump likes Pratt. Will that help, or hurt?<\/a><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

California’s primary election has been buffeted by a lack of front-runners, redrawn political maps, party infighting and competing voter resentment for President Trump and the state\u2019s Democratic establishment.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":813,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-814","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics"],"yoast_head":"\nNews Analysis:\u00a0Uncertainty, frustration define messy midterm battles for mayor, governor and Congress - California Relocation Journal<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/california-relocation-journal.com\/?p=814\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"News Analysis:\u00a0Uncertainty, frustration define messy midterm battles for mayor, governor and Congress - 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NOVEMBER 04: A person enters a polling station to vote at First United Methodist Church on November 04, 2025 in Pasadena, California. California voters are deciding whether to approve Proposition 50, a measure that would replace the state's current congressional district map with new, legislature-drawn lines from 2026 through 2030. The proposition was put forward as a response to Republican-controlled states redrawing their own maps to create an electoral advantage in the 2026 midterms. 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